Welterweight3 rounds
Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi2026-06-20
Welterweight3 rounds
L
Leon Shahbazyan
12-4-0Favorite
OctagonIQ
Welterweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
30Age29
6' 4"Height—
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
74"Reach—
L
Levan Chokheli
14-3-0Underdog
Tale of the Tape
30
Age
29
6' 4"
Height
N/A
74"
Reach
N/A
170 lbs
Weight
170 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
N/A
Country
N/A
75%
Win Rate
82%
100%
Finish Rate
0%
Striking
6.33
Sig. Strikes / Min
0
52%
Strike Accuracy
0%
32%
Strike Defense
0%
8.18
Absorbed / Min
0
Grappling
1.46
Takedowns / 15 Min
0
50%
TD Accuracy
0%
0%
TD Defense
0%
0
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionLean
Levan Chokheli
by Decision
55.0% to win over Leon Shahbazyan · 38.4% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
45.0%(+122)
55.0%(-122)
Leon ShahbazyanLevan Chokheli
KO/TKO
31.5%
14.2% / 17.3%
Submission
30.1%
13.5% / 16.6%
Decision
38.4%
17.3% / 21.1%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.04 rounds
Goes the Distance
38%
Ends Inside Distance
62%
Ends by KO/TKO
32%
Ends by Submission
30%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 57%Under 43%
15ppO/U 2.5
Over 47%Under 53%
-6ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, or build a custom comparison.