Featherweight3 rounds
Otari Tanzilovi vs Shane Collins
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi2026-06-20
Featherweight3 rounds
O
Otari Tanzilovi
9-1-0Favorite
OctagonIQ
Featherweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
28Age26
5' 10"Height—
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
70"Reach—
S
Shane Collins
7-0-0Underdog
Tale of the Tape
28
Age
26
5' 10"
Height
N/A
70"
Reach
N/A
145 lbs
Weight
145 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
N/A
Country
N/A
90%
Win Rate
100%
70%
Finish Rate
0%
Striking
4.53
Sig. Strikes / Min
0
72%
Strike Accuracy
0%
55%
Strike Defense
0%
3.33
Absorbed / Min
0
Grappling
4
Takedowns / 15 Min
0
25%
TD Accuracy
0%
0%
TD Defense
0%
0
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionLean
Shane Collins
by Decision
55.2% to win over Otari Tanzilovi · 45.3% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
44.8%(+123)
55.2%(-123)
Otari TanziloviShane Collins
KO/TKO
24.3%
10.9% / 13.4%
Submission
30.4%
13.6% / 16.8%
Decision
45.3%
20.3% / 25.0%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.25 rounds
Goes the Distance
45%
Ends Inside Distance
55%
Ends by KO/TKO
24%
Ends by Submission
30%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 69%Under 31%
38ppO/U 2.5
Over 56%Under 44%
12ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, or build a custom comparison.