Women's Strawweight3 rounds
Alexia Thainara vs Amanda Lemos
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld2026-08-08
Women's Strawweight3 rounds
Alexia Thainara
14-1-0BrazilFavorite
OctagonIQ
Women's Strawweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
30Age39
5' 4"Height5' 4"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
67"Reach65"
A
Amanda Lemos
15-6-1Underdog
Tale of the Tape
30
Age
39
5' 4"
Height
5' 4"
67"
Reach
65"
115 lbs
Weight
115 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brazil
Country
N/A
93%
Win Rate
71%
62%
Finish Rate
73%
Striking
4.62
Sig. Strikes / Min
2.75
43%
Strike Accuracy
55%
59%
Strike Defense
45%
2.46
Absorbed / Min
3.01
Grappling
4.54
Takedowns / 15 Min
1.02
57%
TD Accuracy
64%
100%
TD Defense
63%
1.8
Submissions / 15 Min
0.7
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionHigh
Alexia Thainara
by Decision
63.6% to win over Amanda Lemos · 61.8% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
63.6%(-175)
36.4%(+175)
Alexia ThainaraAmanda Lemos
KO/TKO
10.2%
6.5% / 3.7%
Submission
28.0%
17.8% / 10.2%
Decision
61.8%
39.3% / 22.5%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.56 rounds
Goes the Distance
62%
Ends Inside Distance
38%
Ends by KO/TKO
10%
Ends by Submission
28%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 84%Under 16%
68ppO/U 2.5
Over 72%Under 28%
44ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld, or build a custom comparison.