Heavyweight3 rounds
Alvin Hines vs RJ Harris
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman2026-07-18
Heavyweight3 rounds
Alvin Hines
7-1-0Favorite
OctagonIQ
Heavyweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
34Age—
6' 2"Height—
265 lbsWeight—
74"Reach—
R
RJ Harris
0-0-0Underdog
Tale of the Tape
34
Age
N/A
6' 2"
Height
N/A
74"
Reach
N/A
265 lbs
Weight
N/A
Orthodox
Stance
N/A
N/A
Country
N/A
88%
Win Rate
0%
83%
Finish Rate
0%
Striking
5.47
Sig. Strikes / Min
0
31%
Strike Accuracy
0%
38%
Strike Defense
0%
7.47
Absorbed / Min
0
Grappling
1
Takedowns / 15 Min
0
10%
TD Accuracy
0%
0%
TD Defense
0%
0
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionLean
RJ Harris
by Decision
53.0% to win over Alvin Hines · 51.7% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
47.0%(+113)
53.0%(-113)
Alvin HinesRJ Harris
KO/TKO
26.3%
12.4% / 13.9%
Submission
21.9%
10.3% / 11.6%
Decision
51.7%
24.3% / 27.4%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.30 rounds
Goes the Distance
52%
Ends Inside Distance
48%
Ends by KO/TKO
26%
Ends by Submission
22%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 70%Under 30%
41ppO/U 2.5
Over 60%Under 40%
20ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, or build a custom comparison.