Women's Flyweight3 rounds
Anna Melisano vs Dione Barbosa
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman2026-07-18
Women's Flyweight3 rounds
A
Anna Melisano
0-0-0Underdog
OctagonIQ
Women's Flyweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
—Age34
—Height5' 6"
—Weight125 lbs
—Reach66"
Dione Barbosa
9-4-0BrazilFavorite
Tale of the Tape
N/A
Age
34
N/A
Height
5' 6"
N/A
Reach
66"
N/A
Weight
125 lbs
N/A
Stance
Orthodox
N/A
Country
Brazil
0%
Win Rate
69%
0%
Finish Rate
38%
Striking
0
Sig. Strikes / Min
2.21
0%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0%
Strike Defense
64%
0
Absorbed / Min
2.4
Grappling
0
Takedowns / 15 Min
2.4
0%
TD Accuracy
44%
0%
TD Defense
63%
0
Submissions / 15 Min
1.7
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionLean
Dione Barbosa
by Decision
53.1% to win over Anna Melisano · 48.2% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
46.9%(+113)
53.1%(-113)
Anna MelisanoDione Barbosa
KO/TKO
19.6%
9.2% / 10.4%
Submission
32.1%
15.1% / 17.0%
Decision
48.2%
22.6% / 25.6%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.26 rounds
Goes the Distance
48%
Ends Inside Distance
52%
Ends by KO/TKO
20%
Ends by Submission
32%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 69%Under 31%
37ppO/U 2.5
Over 57%Under 43%
15ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, or build a custom comparison.