Featherweight3 rounds
Austin Bashi vs Jose Delgado
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman2026-07-18
Featherweight3 rounds
Austin Bashi
14-1-0Favorite
OctagonIQ
Featherweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
24Age28
5' 6"Height5' 11"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
70"Reach74"
Jose Delgado
11-2-0Underdog
Tale of the Tape
24
Age
28
5' 6"
Height
5' 11"
70"
Reach
74"
145 lbs
Weight
145 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
N/A
Country
N/A
93%
Win Rate
85%
58%
Finish Rate
90%
Striking
1.75
Sig. Strikes / Min
7.48
47%
Strike Accuracy
54%
48%
Strike Defense
50%
2.34
Absorbed / Min
4.95
Grappling
7.81
Takedowns / 15 Min
1.51
41%
TD Accuracy
40%
62%
TD Defense
50%
1.7
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionLean
Jose Delgado
by Decision
56.9% to win over Austin Bashi · 58.1% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
43.1%(+132)
56.9%(-132)
Austin BashiJose Delgado
KO/TKO
16.3%
7.0% / 9.3%
Submission
25.6%
11.0% / 14.6%
Decision
58.1%
25.0% / 33.1%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.48 rounds
Goes the Distance
58%
Ends Inside Distance
42%
Ends by KO/TKO
16%
Ends by Submission
26%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 80%Under 20%
60ppO/U 2.5
Over 68%Under 32%
36ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, or build a custom comparison.