Lightweight3 rounds
Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett
Fight preview for UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 22026-07-11
Lightweight3 rounds
Benoit Saint Denis
17-3-0Favorite
OctagonIQ
Lightweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
30Age31
5' 11"Height5' 10"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
73"Reach73"
Paddy Pimblett
23-4-0EnglandUnderdog
Tale of the Tape
30
Age
31
5' 11"
Height
5' 10"
73"
Reach
73"
155 lbs
Weight
155 lbs
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
N/A
Country
England
85%
Win Rate
85%
100%
Finish Rate
74%
Striking
5.62
Sig. Strikes / Min
5.49
58%
Strike Accuracy
52%
42%
Strike Defense
42%
4.09
Absorbed / Min
3.89
Grappling
4.19
Takedowns / 15 Min
0.69
35%
TD Accuracy
21%
72%
TD Defense
44%
1.8
Submissions / 15 Min
1.2
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionHigh
Benoit Saint Denis
by Decision
60.6% to win over Paddy Pimblett · 49.4% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
60.6%(-154)
39.4%(+154)
Benoit Saint DenisPaddy Pimblett
KO/TKO
22.6%
13.7% / 8.9%
Submission
28.0%
17.0% / 11.0%
Decision
49.4%
29.9% / 19.5%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.41 rounds
Goes the Distance
49%
Ends Inside Distance
51%
Ends by KO/TKO
23%
Ends by Submission
28%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 78%Under 22%
57ppO/U 2.5
Over 63%Under 38%
25ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, or build a custom comparison.