Lightweight3 rounds
Billy Quarantillo vs Diego Ferreira
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld2026-08-08
Lightweight3 rounds
B
Billy Quarantillo
18-7-0Favorite
OctagonIQ
Lightweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
37Age41
5' 10"Height5' 9"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
70"Reach74"
D
Diego Ferreira
19-7-0Underdog
Tale of the Tape
37
Age
41
5' 10"
Height
5' 9"
70"
Reach
74"
155 lbs
Weight
155 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
N/A
Country
N/A
72%
Win Rate
73%
71%
Finish Rate
63%
Striking
7.44
Sig. Strikes / Min
4.7
54%
Strike Accuracy
39%
42%
Strike Defense
55%
5.83
Absorbed / Min
3.46
Grappling
1.47
Takedowns / 15 Min
0.82
24%
TD Accuracy
30%
61%
TD Defense
57%
1
Submissions / 15 Min
0.6
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionHigh
Diego Ferreira
by Decision
68.5% to win over Billy Quarantillo · 43.8% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
31.5%(+217)
68.5%(-217)
Billy QuarantilloDiego Ferreira
KO/TKO
31.4%
9.9% / 21.5%
Submission
24.8%
7.8% / 17.0%
Decision
43.8%
13.8% / 30.0%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.26 rounds
Goes the Distance
44%
Ends Inside Distance
56%
Ends by KO/TKO
31%
Ends by Submission
25%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 71%Under 29%
41ppO/U 2.5
Over 56%Under 44%
12ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld, or build a custom comparison.