Featherweight3 rounds
Bogdan Grad vs Dennis Buzukja
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez in Belgrade, Vojvodina, Serbia. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez2026-08-01
Featherweight3 rounds
Bogdan Grad
15-4-0Favorite
OctagonIQ
Featherweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
30Age28
5' 8"Height5' 9"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
70"Reach70"
Dennis Buzukja
12-6-0Underdog
Tale of the Tape
30
Age
28
5' 8"
Height
5' 9"
70"
Reach
70"
145 lbs
Weight
145 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
N/A
Country
N/A
79%
Win Rate
67%
86%
Finish Rate
55%
Striking
4.06
Sig. Strikes / Min
4.21
51%
Strike Accuracy
43%
49%
Strike Defense
48%
5.06
Absorbed / Min
4.79
Grappling
4.22
Takedowns / 15 Min
0.62
40%
TD Accuracy
27%
75%
TD Defense
75%
0
Submissions / 15 Min
0.2
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionHigh
Bogdan Grad
by Decision
64.4% to win over Dennis Buzukja · 50.2% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
64.4%(-181)
35.6%(+181)
Bogdan GradDennis Buzukja
KO/TKO
35.7%
23.0% / 12.7%
Submission
14.1%
9.1% / 5.0%
Decision
50.2%
32.3% / 17.9%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.27 rounds
Goes the Distance
50%
Ends Inside Distance
50%
Ends by KO/TKO
36%
Ends by Submission
14%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 68%Under 32%
37ppO/U 2.5
Over 58%Under 42%
17ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez, or build a custom comparison.