Welterweight3 rounds
Chidi Njokuani vs Geoff Neal
Fight preview for UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry2026-08-15
Welterweight3 rounds
Chidi Njokuani
25-12-0USAFavorite
OctagonIQ
Welterweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
37Age35
6' 3"Height5' 11"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
80"Reach75"
Geoff Neal
16-8-0Underdog
Tale of the Tape
37
Age
35
6' 3"
Height
5' 11"
80"
Reach
75"
170 lbs
Weight
170 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
USA
Country
N/A
68%
Win Rate
67%
80%
Finish Rate
69%
Striking
5.16
Sig. Strikes / Min
5.02
61%
Strike Accuracy
50%
57%
Strike Defense
57%
3.32
Absorbed / Min
5.5
Grappling
0
Takedowns / 15 Min
0.54
0%
TD Accuracy
45%
75%
TD Defense
87%
0.1
Submissions / 15 Min
0.1
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionHigh
Geoff Neal
by KO/TKO, Round 1
66.8% to win over Chidi Njokuani · 54.2% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
33.2%(+201)
66.8%(-201)
Chidi NjokuaniGeoff Neal
KO/TKO
54.2%
18.0% / 36.2%
Submission
11.4%
3.8% / 7.6%
Decision
34.4%
11.4% / 23.0%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.17 rounds
Goes the Distance
34%
Ends Inside Distance
66%
Ends by KO/TKO
54%
Ends by Submission
11%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 68%Under 32%
36ppO/U 2.5
Over 50%Under 51%
-1ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, or build a custom comparison.