JUL 25UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree JrSat, Jul 25, 2026 · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Full card →Lightweight3 rounds
Damian Rzepecki vs Magomed Zaynukov
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr in Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr2026-07-25
Lightweight3 rounds
D
Damian Rzepecki
0-0-0Underdog
OctagonIQ
Lightweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
—Age31
—Height5' 10"
—Weight155 lbs
—Reach68"
M
Magomed Zaynukov
8-0-0Favorite
Tale of the Tape
N/A
Age
31
N/A
Height
5' 10"
N/A
Reach
68"
N/A
Weight
155 lbs
N/A
Stance
Orthodox
N/A
Country
N/A
0%
Win Rate
100%
0%
Finish Rate
71%
Striking
0
Sig. Strikes / Min
15.67
0%
Strike Accuracy
60%
0%
Strike Defense
58%
0
Absorbed / Min
4.8
Grappling
0
Takedowns / 15 Min
2
0%
TD Accuracy
100%
0%
TD Defense
0%
0
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionHigh
Damian Rzepecki
by Decision
61.8% to win over Magomed Zaynukov · 44.0% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
61.8%(-162)
38.2%(+162)
Damian RzepeckiMagomed Zaynukov
KO/TKO
26.2%
16.2% / 10.0%
Submission
29.9%
18.5% / 11.4%
Decision
44.0%
27.2% / 16.8%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.19 rounds
Goes the Distance
44%
Ends Inside Distance
56%
Ends by KO/TKO
26%
Ends by Submission
30%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 65%Under 35%
30ppO/U 2.5
Over 54%Under 47%
7ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
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