Main EventWelterweight5 rounds
Daniel Rodriguez vs Uros Medic
Main event preview for UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez in Belgrade, Vojvodina, Serbia. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez2026-08-01
Main EventWelterweight5 rounds
Daniel Rodriguez
20-5-0Underdog
OctagonIQ
Welterweight
Main Event Bout · 5 Rounds
39Age33
6' 1"Height6' 1"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
74"Reach71"
Uros Medic
13-3-0Favorite
Tale of the Tape
39
Age
33
6' 1"
Height
6' 1"
74"
Reach
71"
170 lbs
Weight
170 lbs
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
N/A
Country
N/A
80%
Win Rate
81%
36%
Finish Rate
100%
Striking
7.2
Sig. Strikes / Min
5.59
49%
Strike Accuracy
60%
57%
Strike Defense
56%
5.4
Absorbed / Min
3.42
Grappling
0.51
Takedowns / 15 Min
0.34
50%
TD Accuracy
50%
64%
TD Defense
55%
0.1
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionCoin Flip
Uros Medic
by KO/TKO, Round 1
50.7% to win over Daniel Rodriguez · 45.6% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
49.3%(+103)
50.7%(-103)
Daniel RodriguezUros Medic
KO/TKO
45.6%
22.5% / 23.1%
Submission
14.2%
7.0% / 7.2%
Decision
40.2%
19.8% / 20.4%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 3.34 rounds
Goes the Distance
40%
Ends Inside Distance
60%
Ends by KO/TKO
46%
Ends by Submission
14%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 77%Under 23%
54ppO/U 2.5
Over 62%Under 38%
25ppO/U 3.5
Over 51%Under 49%
2ppO/U 4.5
Over 44%Under 56%
-12ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
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