Middleweight3 rounds
Dusko Todorovic vs Robert Valentin
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez in Belgrade, Vojvodina, Serbia. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez2026-08-01
Middleweight3 rounds
Dusko Todorovic
13-6-0Favorite
OctagonIQ
Middleweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
32Age31
6' 1"Height6' 2"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
74"Reach77"
Robert Valentin
12-6-0SwitzerlandUnderdog
Tale of the Tape
32
Age
31
6' 1"
Height
6' 2"
74"
Reach
77"
185 lbs
Weight
185 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
N/A
Country
Switzerland
68%
Win Rate
67%
92%
Finish Rate
92%
Striking
4.73
Sig. Strikes / Min
1.3
57%
Strike Accuracy
55%
48%
Strike Defense
33%
4.4
Absorbed / Min
2.72
Grappling
1.77
Takedowns / 15 Min
0.59
21%
TD Accuracy
50%
42%
TD Defense
55%
0.3
Submissions / 15 Min
1.8
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionLean
Robert Valentin
by Submission, Round 1
59.4% to win over Dusko Todorovic · 48.0% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
40.6%(+146)
59.4%(-146)
Dusko TodorovicRobert Valentin
KO/TKO
26.6%
10.8% / 15.8%
Submission
48.0%
19.5% / 28.5%
Decision
25.4%
10.3% / 15.1%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 1.95 rounds
Goes the Distance
25%
Ends Inside Distance
75%
Ends by KO/TKO
27%
Ends by Submission
48%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 56%Under 44%
11ppO/U 2.5
Over 39%Under 61%
-22ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez, or build a custom comparison.