Women's Strawweight3 rounds
Elise Reed vs Shanelle Dyer
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues in Sacramento, California, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues2026-08-22
Women's Strawweight3 rounds
E
Elise Reed
8-5-0Underdog
OctagonIQ
Women's Strawweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
33Age25
5' 3"Height5' 6"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
63"Reach65"
Shanelle Dyer
7-1-0EnglandFavorite
Tale of the Tape
33
Age
25
5' 3"
Height
5' 6"
63"
Reach
65"
115 lbs
Weight
115 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
N/A
Country
England
62%
Win Rate
88%
14%
Finish Rate
71%
Striking
3.41
Sig. Strikes / Min
7.71
53%
Strike Accuracy
46%
51%
Strike Defense
51%
3.26
Absorbed / Min
6.72
Grappling
0.46
Takedowns / 15 Min
0.7
60%
TD Accuracy
8%
53%
TD Defense
100%
0
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionHigh
Shanelle Dyer
by Decision
71.2% to win over Elise Reed · 57.3% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
28.8%(+247)
71.2%(-247)
Elise ReedShanelle Dyer
KO/TKO
29.9%
8.6% / 21.3%
Submission
12.8%
3.7% / 9.1%
Decision
57.3%
16.5% / 40.8%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.44 rounds
Goes the Distance
57%
Ends Inside Distance
43%
Ends by KO/TKO
30%
Ends by Submission
13%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 78%Under 22%
56ppO/U 2.5
Over 67%Under 33%
33ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, or build a custom comparison.