JUL 11UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2Sat, Jul 11, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
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Bantamweight3 rounds

Ethyn Ewing vs Farid Basharat

Fight preview for UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.

IQ Score

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 22026-07-11
Bantamweight3 rounds
Ethyn Ewing — UFC fighter portrait
Ethyn Ewing
10-2-0USAUnderdog
OctagonIQ
Bantamweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
30Age28
5' 6"Height5' 8"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
69"Reach71"
Farid Basharat — UFC fighter portrait
Farid Basharat
15-0-0Favorite

Tale of the Tape

30
Age
28
5' 6"
Height
5' 8"
69"
Reach
71"
135 lbs
Weight
135 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
USA
Country
N/A
83%
Win Rate
100%
78%
Finish Rate
50%

Striking

7.44
Sig. Strikes / Min
4.25
55%
Strike Accuracy
52%
63%
Strike Defense
62%
4.53
Absorbed / Min
2.89

Grappling

1.68
Takedowns / 15 Min
3.34
60%
TD Accuracy
44%
100%
TD Defense
54%
0
Submissions / 15 Min
0.3
0

Simulation Prediction

OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionHigh
Farid Basharat
by Decision
67.8% to win over Ethyn Ewing · 67.8% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
32.2%(+211)
67.8%(-211)
Ethyn EwingFarid Basharat
KO/TKO
19.8%
6.4% / 13.4%
Submission
12.4%
4.0% / 8.4%
Decision
67.8%
21.9% / 45.9%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.64 rounds
Goes the Distance
68%
Ends Inside Distance
32%
Ends by KO/TKO
20%
Ends by Submission
12%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 88%Under 12%
75pp
O/U 2.5
Over 77%Under 23%
54pp
Multi-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.

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