Light Heavyweight3 rounds
Felipe Franco vs Levi Rodrigues Jr.
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman2026-07-18
Light Heavyweight3 rounds
Felipe Franco
10-2-0BrazilUnderdog
OctagonIQ
Light Heavyweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
25Age29
6' 1"Height6' 0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
76"Reach76"
L
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
6-0-0Favorite
Tale of the Tape
25
Age
29
6' 1"
Height
6' 0"
76"
Reach
76"
205 lbs
Weight
205 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brazil
Country
N/A
83%
Win Rate
100%
100%
Finish Rate
100%
Striking
1.81
Sig. Strikes / Min
4.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
78%
38%
Strike Defense
22%
2.55
Absorbed / Min
2.1
Grappling
3.02
Takedowns / 15 Min
0
37%
TD Accuracy
0%
87%
TD Defense
100%
0
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionHigh
Felipe Franco
by Decision
64.2% to win over Levi Rodrigues Jr. · 46.7% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
64.2%(-179)
35.8%(+179)
Felipe FrancoLevi Rodrigues Jr.
KO/TKO
26.0%
16.7% / 9.3%
Submission
27.2%
17.5% / 9.7%
Decision
46.7%
30.0% / 16.7%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.28 rounds
Goes the Distance
47%
Ends Inside Distance
53%
Ends by KO/TKO
26%
Ends by Submission
27%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 71%Under 29%
41ppO/U 2.5
Over 58%Under 43%
15ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, or build a custom comparison.