Middleweight3 rounds
Gilbert Urbina vs Vlasto Cepo
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez in Belgrade, Vojvodina, Serbia. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez2026-08-01
Middleweight3 rounds
Gilbert Urbina
7-5-0Underdog
OctagonIQ
Middleweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
30Age31
6' 3"Height—
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
75"Reach—
V
Vlasto Cepo
14-3-0Favorite
Tale of the Tape
30
Age
31
6' 3"
Height
N/A
75"
Reach
N/A
185 lbs
Weight
185 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
N/A
Country
N/A
58%
Win Rate
82%
57%
Finish Rate
94%
Striking
5.57
Sig. Strikes / Min
0
56%
Strike Accuracy
0%
44%
Strike Defense
0%
4.62
Absorbed / Min
0
Grappling
2.86
Takedowns / 15 Min
0
44%
TD Accuracy
0%
0%
TD Defense
0%
0.7
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionLean
Gilbert Urbina
by KO/TKO, Round 1
54.0% to win over Vlasto Cepo · 44.1% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
54.0%(-117)
46.0%(+117)
Gilbert UrbinaVlasto Cepo
KO/TKO
44.1%
23.8% / 20.3%
Submission
22.6%
12.2% / 10.4%
Decision
33.3%
18.0% / 15.3%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.00 rounds
Goes the Distance
33%
Ends Inside Distance
67%
Ends by KO/TKO
44%
Ends by Submission
23%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 56%Under 44%
12ppO/U 2.5
Over 44%Under 57%
-13ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez, or build a custom comparison.