Heavyweight3 rounds
Henrique Da Silva Lopes vs Louie Sutherland
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld2026-08-08
Heavyweight3 rounds
H
Henrique Da Silva Lopes
5-2-0Underdog
OctagonIQ
Heavyweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
41Age32
6' 3"Height6' 3"
240 lbsWeight264 lbs
—Reach76"
Louie Sutherland
11-5-0EnglandFavorite
Tale of the Tape
41
Age
32
6' 3"
Height
6' 3"
N/A
Reach
76"
240 lbs
Weight
264 lbs
N/A
Stance
Orthodox
N/A
Country
England
71%
Win Rate
69%
0%
Finish Rate
70%
Striking
0
Sig. Strikes / Min
1.81
0%
Strike Accuracy
68%
0%
Strike Defense
30%
0
Absorbed / Min
2.03
Grappling
0
Takedowns / 15 Min
4.95
0%
TD Accuracy
42%
0%
TD Defense
0%
0
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionHigh
Louie Sutherland
by KO/TKO, Round 1
74.1% to win over Henrique Da Silva Lopes · 47.8% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
25.9%(+286)
74.1%(-286)
Henrique Da Silva LopesLouie Sutherland
KO/TKO
47.8%
12.4% / 35.4%
Submission
33.3%
8.6% / 24.7%
Decision
18.9%
4.9% / 14.0%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 1.63 rounds
Goes the Distance
19%
Ends Inside Distance
81%
Ends by KO/TKO
48%
Ends by Submission
33%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 36%Under 64%
-28ppO/U 2.5
Over 27%Under 73%
-47ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld, or build a custom comparison.