Middleweight3 rounds
Jackson McVey vs Wes Schultz
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues in Sacramento, California, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues2026-08-22
Middleweight3 rounds
Jackson McVey
7-2-0USAFavorite
OctagonIQ
Middleweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
27Age29
6' 4"Height6' 1"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
77"Reach77"
Wes Schultz
9-3-0Underdog
Tale of the Tape
27
Age
29
6' 4"
Height
6' 1"
77"
Reach
77"
185 lbs
Weight
185 lbs
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
USA
Country
N/A
78%
Win Rate
75%
100%
Finish Rate
89%
Striking
6.51
Sig. Strikes / Min
2.91
69%
Strike Accuracy
46%
23%
Strike Defense
43%
3.37
Absorbed / Min
3.11
Grappling
0
Takedowns / 15 Min
2.39
0%
TD Accuracy
21%
0%
TD Defense
0%
1.2
Submissions / 15 Min
3.6
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionCoin Flip
Wes Schultz
by Submission, Round 1
51.1% to win over Jackson McVey · 55.4% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
48.9%(+104)
51.1%(-104)
Jackson McVeyWes Schultz
KO/TKO
25.0%
12.2% / 12.8%
Submission
55.4%
27.1% / 28.3%
Decision
19.6%
9.6% / 10.0%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 1.75 rounds
Goes the Distance
20%
Ends Inside Distance
80%
Ends by KO/TKO
25%
Ends by Submission
55%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 44%Under 56%
-12ppO/U 2.5
Over 31%Under 69%
-39ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, or build a custom comparison.