Lightweight3 rounds
Jalin Turner vs Kaue Fernandes
Fight preview for UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry2026-08-15
Lightweight3 rounds
Jalin Turner
15-9-0Underdog
OctagonIQ
Lightweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
31Age31
6' 3"Height5' 9"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
77"Reach73"
Kaue Fernandes
11-2-0Favorite
Tale of the Tape
31
Age
31
6' 3"
Height
5' 9"
77"
Reach
73"
155 lbs
Weight
155 lbs
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
N/A
Country
N/A
63%
Win Rate
85%
100%
Finish Rate
73%
Striking
5.79
Sig. Strikes / Min
4.28
48%
Strike Accuracy
55%
41%
Strike Defense
62%
4.54
Absorbed / Min
1.42
Grappling
0.75
Takedowns / 15 Min
1.18
55%
TD Accuracy
100%
75%
TD Defense
76%
1.1
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionLean
Jalin Turner
by Decision
58.6% to win over Kaue Fernandes · 44.9% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
58.6%(-142)
41.4%(+142)
Jalin TurnerKaue Fernandes
KO/TKO
34.5%
20.2% / 14.3%
Submission
20.5%
12.0% / 8.5%
Decision
44.9%
26.3% / 18.6%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.23 rounds
Goes the Distance
45%
Ends Inside Distance
55%
Ends by KO/TKO
35%
Ends by Submission
21%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 68%Under 32%
35ppO/U 2.5
Over 55%Under 45%
10ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, or build a custom comparison.