Welterweight3 rounds
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman2026-07-18
Welterweight3 rounds
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
10-2-0Favorite
OctagonIQ
Welterweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
27Age32
5' 11"Height5' 10"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
72"Reach71"
Seokhyeon Ko
13-2-0Underdog
Tale of the Tape
27
Age
32
5' 11"
Height
5' 10"
72"
Reach
71"
170 lbs
Weight
170 lbs
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
N/A
Country
N/A
83%
Win Rate
87%
78%
Finish Rate
0%
Striking
4.77
Sig. Strikes / Min
2.73
61%
Strike Accuracy
59%
53%
Strike Defense
58%
3.72
Absorbed / Min
1.42
Grappling
2.79
Takedowns / 15 Min
4
30%
TD Accuracy
63%
0%
TD Defense
75%
1.9
Submissions / 15 Min
0.3
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionCoin Flip
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
by Decision
51.3% to win over Seokhyeon Ko · 55.2% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
51.3%(-105)
48.7%(+105)
Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniSeokhyeon Ko
KO/TKO
22.8%
11.7% / 11.1%
Submission
22.0%
11.3% / 10.7%
Decision
55.2%
28.3% / 26.9%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.44 rounds
Goes the Distance
55%
Ends Inside Distance
45%
Ends by KO/TKO
23%
Ends by Submission
22%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 78%Under 22%
57ppO/U 2.5
Over 66%Under 34%
31ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, or build a custom comparison.