Heavyweight3 rounds
Jovan Leka vs Max Gimenis
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez in Belgrade, Vojvodina, Serbia. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez2026-08-01
Heavyweight3 rounds
Jovan Leka
11-2-0Favorite
OctagonIQ
Heavyweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
24Age33
6' 4"Height6' 2"
259 lbsWeight256 lbs
75"Reach75"
Max Gimenis
6-2-0Underdog
Tale of the Tape
24
Age
33
6' 4"
Height
6' 2"
75"
Reach
75"
259 lbs
Weight
256 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
N/A
Country
N/A
85%
Win Rate
75%
83%
Finish Rate
83%
Striking
1.6
Sig. Strikes / Min
3.21
75%
Strike Accuracy
42%
43%
Strike Defense
47%
0.6
Absorbed / Min
9.64
Grappling
1
Takedowns / 15 Min
0
100%
TD Accuracy
0%
55%
TD Defense
0%
1
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionHigh
Jovan Leka
by Decision
62.7% to win over Max Gimenis · 40.3% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
62.7%(-168)
37.3%(+168)
Jovan LekaMax Gimenis
KO/TKO
39.4%
24.7% / 14.7%
Submission
20.3%
12.7% / 7.6%
Decision
40.3%
25.3% / 15.0%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.19 rounds
Goes the Distance
40%
Ends Inside Distance
60%
Ends by KO/TKO
39%
Ends by Submission
20%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 67%Under 33%
34ppO/U 2.5
Over 52%Under 48%
5ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez, or build a custom comparison.