Lightweight3 rounds
King Green vs Terrance McKinney
Fight preview for UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 22026-07-11
Lightweight3 rounds
King Green
35-17-1USAUnderdog
OctagonIQ
Lightweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
39Age31
5' 10"Height5' 10"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
71"Reach73"
Terrance McKinney
18-8-0USAFavorite
Tale of the Tape
39
Age
31
5' 10"
Height
5' 10"
71"
Reach
73"
155 lbs
Weight
155 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
USA
Country
USA
67%
Win Rate
69%
56%
Finish Rate
100%
Striking
6.46
Sig. Strikes / Min
6.53
53%
Strike Accuracy
55%
62%
Strike Defense
43%
3.55
Absorbed / Min
3.45
Grappling
1.33
Takedowns / 15 Min
3.31
43%
TD Accuracy
40%
72%
TD Defense
72%
0.3
Submissions / 15 Min
2.1
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionLean
Terrance McKinney
by Decision
53.5% to win over King Green · 36.1% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
46.5%(+115)
53.5%(-115)
King GreenTerrance McKinney
KO/TKO
32.3%
15.0% / 17.3%
Submission
31.6%
14.7% / 16.9%
Decision
36.1%
16.8% / 19.3%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.08 rounds
Goes the Distance
36%
Ends Inside Distance
64%
Ends by KO/TKO
32%
Ends by Submission
32%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 61%Under 39%
21ppO/U 2.5
Over 47%Under 53%
-6ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, or build a custom comparison.