Featherweight3 rounds
Kurtis Campbell vs Trevor Peek
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night in Paris, Ile-de-France, France. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night2026-09-05
Featherweight3 rounds
Kurtis Campbell
8-1-0EnglandFavorite
OctagonIQ
Featherweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
23Age31
5' 9"Height5' 9"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
72"Reach70"
Trevor Peek
9-3-0Underdog
Tale of the Tape
23
Age
31
5' 9"
Height
5' 9"
72"
Reach
70"
145 lbs
Weight
145 lbs
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Stance
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England
Country
N/A
89%
Win Rate
75%
75%
Finish Rate
89%
Striking
3.5
Sig. Strikes / Min
4.39
48%
Strike Accuracy
53%
51%
Strike Defense
43%
2.63
Absorbed / Min
3.88
Grappling
8.76
Takedowns / 15 Min
1.45
40%
TD Accuracy
50%
50%
TD Defense
52%
0
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionCoin Flip
Kurtis Campbell
by Decision
52.5% to win over Trevor Peek · 53.1% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
52.5%(-111)
47.5%(+111)
Kurtis CampbellTrevor Peek
KO/TKO
29.5%
15.5% / 14.0%
Submission
17.4%
9.1% / 8.3%
Decision
53.1%
27.9% / 25.2%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.32 rounds
Goes the Distance
53%
Ends Inside Distance
47%
Ends by KO/TKO
30%
Ends by Submission
17%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 71%Under 29%
41ppO/U 2.5
Over 61%Under 39%
22ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
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