Main EventMiddleweight5 rounds
Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev
Main event preview for UFC Fight Night in Paris, Ile-de-France, France. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night2026-09-05
Main EventMiddleweight5 rounds
Michael Page
25-3-0EnglandFavorite
OctagonIQ
Middleweight
Main Event Bout · 5 Rounds
39Age32
6' 3"Height6' 5"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
79"Reach76"
Nursulton Ruziboev
37-9-2UzbekistanUnderdog
Tale of the Tape
39
Age
32
6' 3"
Height
6' 5"
79"
Reach
76"
170 lbs
Weight
185 lbs
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
England
Country
Uzbekistan
89%
Win Rate
80%
0%
Finish Rate
92%
Striking
2.28
Sig. Strikes / Min
2.38
58%
Strike Accuracy
46%
62%
Strike Defense
49%
1.51
Absorbed / Min
2.68
Grappling
0.19
Takedowns / 15 Min
1.36
16%
TD Accuracy
80%
70%
TD Defense
33%
0
Submissions / 15 Min
0.3
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionLean
Michael Page
by KO/TKO, Round 1
55.4% to win over Nursulton Ruziboev · 43.3% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
55.4%(-124)
44.6%(+124)
Michael PageNursulton Ruziboev
KO/TKO
43.3%
24.0% / 19.3%
Submission
19.5%
10.8% / 8.7%
Decision
37.2%
20.6% / 16.6%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 3.14 rounds
Goes the Distance
37%
Ends Inside Distance
63%
Ends by KO/TKO
43%
Ends by Submission
20%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 70%Under 30%
40ppO/U 2.5
Over 57%Under 43%
14ppO/U 3.5
Over 47%Under 53%
-6ppO/U 4.5
Over 40%Under 60%
-19ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
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