JUL 25UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree JrSat, Jul 25, 2026 · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Full card →Heavyweight3 rounds
Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune
Fight preview for UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr in Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr2026-07-25
Heavyweight3 rounds
Rizvan Kuniev
13-3-1Underdog
OctagonIQ
Heavyweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
34Age35
6' 4"Height--
240 lbsWeight259 lbs
76"Reach75"
Tyrell Fortune
18-3-0USAFavorite
Tale of the Tape
34
Age
35
6' 4"
Height
--
76"
Reach
75"
240 lbs
Weight
259 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
N/A
Country
USA
81%
Win Rate
86%
64%
Finish Rate
69%
Striking
3.94
Sig. Strikes / Min
2
54%
Strike Accuracy
50%
48%
Strike Defense
57%
2.33
Absorbed / Min
3.13
Grappling
0.98
Takedowns / 15 Min
3
75%
TD Accuracy
60%
93%
TD Defense
100%
0
Submissions / 15 Min
0
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionLean
Rizvan Kuniev
by Decision
54.4% to win over Tyrell Fortune · 52.1% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
54.4%(-119)
45.6%(+119)
Rizvan KunievTyrell Fortune
KO/TKO
28.3%
15.4% / 12.9%
Submission
19.5%
10.6% / 8.9%
Decision
52.1%
28.3% / 23.8%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.42 rounds
Goes the Distance
52%
Ends Inside Distance
48%
Ends by KO/TKO
28%
Ends by Submission
20%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 78%Under 22%
57ppO/U 2.5
Over 64%Under 36%
28ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
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