Women's Flyweight3 rounds
Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong
Fight preview for UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 22026-07-11
Women's Flyweight3 rounds
Tracy Cortez
12-3-0Underdog
OctagonIQ
Women's Flyweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
32Age34
5' 5"Height5' 6"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
65"Reach66"
Wang Cong
9-1-0Favorite
Tale of the Tape
32
Age
34
5' 5"
Height
5' 6"
65"
Reach
66"
125 lbs
Weight
125 lbs
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
N/A
Country
N/A
80%
Win Rate
90%
18%
Finish Rate
38%
Striking
3.86
Sig. Strikes / Min
6.22
48%
Strike Accuracy
56%
57%
Strike Defense
63%
3.01
Absorbed / Min
2.19
Grappling
2.15
Takedowns / 15 Min
0.78
46%
TD Accuracy
75%
59%
TD Defense
84%
0.3
Submissions / 15 Min
0.8
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionCoin Flip
Tracy Cortez
by Decision
52.7% to win over Wang Cong · 65.2% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
52.7%(-111)
47.3%(+111)
Tracy CortezWang Cong
KO/TKO
22.8%
12.0% / 10.8%
Submission
12.0%
6.3% / 5.7%
Decision
65.2%
34.4% / 30.8%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.61 rounds
Goes the Distance
65%
Ends Inside Distance
35%
Ends by KO/TKO
23%
Ends by Submission
12%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 87%Under 14%
73ppO/U 2.5
Over 75%Under 25%
50ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, or build a custom comparison.