Middleweight3 rounds
Tresean Gore vs Vicente Luque
Fight preview for UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA. Tale of the tape, live sportsbook odds, and Monte Carlo simulation prediction.
IQ Score
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry2026-08-15
Middleweight3 rounds
Tresean Gore
7-4-0USAUnderdog
OctagonIQ
Middleweight
Bout · 3 Rounds
32Age34
6' 0"Height5' 11"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
75"Reach75"
Vicente Luque
24-12-1BrazilFavorite
Tale of the Tape
32
Age
34
6' 0"
Height
5' 11"
75"
Reach
75"
185 lbs
Weight
185 lbs
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
USA
Country
Brazil
67%
Win Rate
67%
75%
Finish Rate
88%
Striking
3.41
Sig. Strikes / Min
4.8
49%
Strike Accuracy
50%
40%
Strike Defense
51%
7
Absorbed / Min
5.24
Grappling
1.91
Takedowns / 15 Min
0.89
72%
TD Accuracy
48%
83%
TD Defense
59%
1
Submissions / 15 Min
0.7
Simulation Prediction
OctagonIQ Modelv3 · trained model
⬢ OctagonIQ PredictionHigh
Vicente Luque
by Decision
68.4% to win over Tresean Gore · 40.5% chance of this exact outcome
Agree? Disagree? Share the prediction.
31.6%(+216)
68.4%(-216)
Tresean GoreVicente Luque
KO/TKO
32.5%
10.3% / 22.2%
Submission
27.0%
8.5% / 18.5%
Decision
40.5%
12.8% / 27.7%
Prop Predictions
Avg fight length: 2.20 rounds
Goes the Distance
41%
Ends Inside Distance
60%
Ends by KO/TKO
33%
Ends by Submission
27%
Rounds Total Over/Under
O/U 1.5
Over 68%Under 32%
35ppO/U 2.5
Over 53%Under 47%
5ppMulti-factor model: effective striking, defense, grappling, matchup dynamics, momentum, finishing ability. For informational purposes only.
See the rest of the card on UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, or build a custom comparison.