OCTAGONIQ
HomeEventsFightersPicksCompareOddsDFSRankingsTrack RecordContact
OCTAGONIQ

Fight Analytics Engine

EventsFightersPicksTrack RecordContactCompareOddsRankingsMethodologyGlossary
© 2026 OctagonIQ·Data sourced from UFCStats.com, UFC.com, Tapology
Odds via The Odds API·4,400+ fighters · 8,500+ fights
  1. Home
  2. /Fighters
  3. /Chris Duncan
Chris Duncan

Chris Duncan

L1
“The Problem”
15-3-0
0Gatekeeper
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿Scotland/Lightweight/Age 33/Orthodox/5' 10"/71″ reach/155 lbs
Win %
83%
SLpM
4.8
Str Acc
45%
Str Def
50%
TD Avg
2.9
TD Def
55%
Sub Avg
0.6
Finish
71%

At a Glance

4.8
SLpM
top 19%
45%
Str Acc
median
2.9
TD Avg
above average
71%
Finish %
top 0%
50%
Str Def
below average
Chris Duncan "The Problem" is a Scotland orthodox Lightweight mixed martial artist competing in the UFC, profiled as a well-rounded mixed martial artist. With a record of 15-3-0, the fighter boasts a 83% win rate across 18 pro contests, with a 71% finish rate that ranks among the most decisive in the division.
Career Arc
16 fightspeak +13 · current +12

Skill Profile

Fighter skill radar — VOLUME 70 (UFC avg 50), ACCURACY 53 (UFC avg 50), KO POWER 66 (UFC avg 50), TAKEDOWNS 77 (UFC avg 50), TD DEFENSE 40 (UFC avg 50), SUBMISSIONS 60 (UFC avg 50), DURABILITY 60 (UFC avg 50), ACTIVITY 98 (UFC avg 50)VOLUME70ACCURACY53KO POWER66TAKEDOWNS77TD DEFENSE40SUBMISSIONS60DURABILITY60ACTIVITY98
Fighter
UFC Avg
0Gatekeeper
IQ Score

Accuracy & Defense○ = UFC avg

Str Acc: 45% (UFC average 44%)0%avg 44%
Str Acc
Str Def: 50% (UFC average 55%)0%avg 55%
Str Def
TD Acc: 40% (UFC average 42%)0%avg 42%
TD Acc
TD Def: 55% (UFC average 62%)0%avg 62%
TD Def

Striking Output

Sig. Strikes Landed / Min
4.83+1.41 vs avg
0avg 3.49
Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min
4.57+1.39 vs avg
0avg 3.29

Grappling Output

Takedowns / 15 Min
2.92+1.40 vs avg
0avg 1.56
Submissions / 15 Min
0.60+0.20 vs avg
0avg 0.43

Strike Differential (landed - absorbed / min)

Absorbed (4.57)Landed (4.83)
0
+0.26

Wins by Method

71%Finish
KO/TKO643%
Submission429%
Decision429%
15 total wins

Win / Loss by Method

Wins (15)
6 KO
4 SUB
4 DEC
1 OTH
Losses (3)
2 SUB
1 OTH

Recent Form (Last 5)

L
Sub
W
Sub
W
Dec
W
Sub
W
Sub

Career Fight Pace (Avg Sig Strikes / Round)

R1
19/41(46%)
R2
21/44(48%)
R3
33/70(47%)
Landed
Attempted

Positional & Target Breakdown

Position
88%
Distance: 297Clinch: 30Ground: 11
Target
66%
17%
17%
Head: 224Body: 58Leg: 56

Grappling Efficiency

Avg TD / Fight
0.8
Avg Control / Fight
0:40
TD Success Rate
38%

Durability & Resilience

Fights to Decision
4 of 16
KO/TKO Losses
0
Avg Fight Duration
1.8 rounds
Post-Loss Record
1-0
Fight History8 UFC + 8 pre-UFC
16 fights14W2L
ResultOpponentEventDateMethodRdTime
LRenato Moicano
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Apr 4, 2026SSUB Rear Naked Choke23:14
LOSSMain Event
Method
SUB Rear Naked Choke
Round
2
of 5
Time
3:14
Division
Lightweight
Opening Odds
+128/-152
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
2026-04-04
Compare fighters →
WTerrance McKinney
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Dec 6, 2025SSUB Anaconda Choke12:30
WMateusz Rebecki
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
Aug 2, 2025DU-DEC35:00
WJordan Vucenic
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
Mar 22, 2025SSUB Guillotine Choke23:42
WBolaji Oki
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Sep 28, 2024SSUB Guillotine Choke13:34
LManuel Torres
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Feb 24, 2024SSUB Rear Naked Choke11:46
WYanal Ashmouz
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
Jul 22, 2023DU-DEC35:00
WOmar Morales
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
Mar 18, 2023DS-DEC35:00
WJonathan Carlos
UFLUFL 8
Feb 5, 2022DDECUnanimous
WIamik Furtado
BellatorBellator 247
Oct 1, 2020KTKO23:58
WMateusz Piskorz
BellatorBellator 240
Feb 22, 2020KTKO22:43
WLeandro Souza
Ultimate Fight LeagueUltimate Fight League 3
Aug 4, 2019KTKO14:03
WSam Slater
BellatorBellator 217
Feb 23, 2019KTKO13:00
WNiall Smith
On TopOn Top 21
Nov 17, 2018KTKOR1
WSteven Moore
On Top: ShowdownOn Top: Showdown
Jun 2, 2018KTKOR3
WPietro Colonna
Unity Fighting ChampionshipUnity Fighting Championship
Apr 7, 2018SSUB24:47